BMW M sales exec says dual clutch, manual transmissions on their way out

Ebrahim Mayat

Events Organiser
http://www.drive.com.au/motor-news/b...rticleResults8

BMW M-Division: Dual-clutch gearbox dead on water

And the days looked numbered for manual transmission too.

The passenger-car transmission war will ultimately be won by the conventional, torque-converter automatic, according to BMW's M division.

And M's vice-president of sales and marketing, Peter Quintus, has given both the conventional manual and the double-clutch transmission just a handful of years to live.

When questioned by Drive on the subject of transmission technology and how it relates to the BMW version of the double-clutch, the DCT, Quintus' response was a surprising one.

"It's more a question of how long has the DCT got to go," he said. "How long will it last?"

Having already predicted the end of manual transmissions in the next six or seven years, Quintus confirmed that he believed we would all soon be making a return to the torque converter automatic.

"We are now seeing automatic transmissions with nine and even 10 speeds, so there's a lot of technology in modern automatics," he said.
"The DCT once had two advantages: it was light and its shift speeds were higher.

"Now, a lot of that shift-time advantage has disappeared as automatics get better and smarter."

Interestingly, Quintus' view that the conventional manual is also doomed is not based solely on emissions. Instead, it's a case of being able to make a manual gearbox strong enough for the super-torquey new generation of engines. He said about 450 horsepower (335kW) and 600Nm was more or less the limit of manual-gearbox durability. Beyond that, he said, durability couldn't be guaranteed.

So why not just shop somewhere like the USA for a manual transmission that can cope with the output of big, burly V8 engines?
"We looked at US gearboxes. We found they were heavy and the shift quality was awful," he said.

"I'm not even sure the next generation of M3 and M4 models from BMW will have the option of a manual gearbox.


http://f80.bimmerpost.com/forums/showthread.php?t=1376991
 

ChefDJ

///Member
So the standard old auto is now more reliable than a manual, with the advancement of modern engineering?

Who would have thought...
 

akash

Well-known member
It was always believed that the manual box holds up better than the autos for bigger power.

The current autos have caught up some what in shift speed with the new flash technology, but strenght wise i'm not to sure
 

individj

Well-known member
a lot of the big power supras are auto with modified torque converters. i prefer manual & DCT personally
 

TurboLlew

Honorary ///Member
New AWD M5 is going to have a torque converter box it seems. Mixed feelings about this as I love the DCT in my car and the manuals. Plenty of high power cars out there with manuals but I suppose factory reliability targets limit how crazy you can go. New gen auto boxes are getting very very good though.
 

444YYY

Honorary ///Member
It's a ploy... to make people want the DCT transmissions as they will think it's a scarce commodity!
Well played!
 

TurboLlew

Honorary ///Member
444YYY said:
It's a ploy... to make people want the DCT transmissions as they will think it's a scarce commodity!
Well played!

LOL M5 owners of the last 4 generations have a lot to smile about

E34 Last Straight 6
E39 Last factory manual (in SA)
E60 Last NA (and what an NA beast!)
F10 Last RWD, Last DCT

:roflol:
 

msm

Well-known member
At this rate, we'll soon be getting a FWD, hybrid, 20 speed auto, 3 cylinder quad-turbo ///M car...
 
Suppose they want to limit their liabilities when it comes to factory high hp high torque motors. Easier to control the whole lot with an autobox and some clever electronic tomfoolery. I believe where we are now is in a sort of "golden age" for factory performance vehicles. From now on ECU's will get harder to crack, the whole functioning of the ecu as we have come to understand it is changing. It really is phenomenal what they can do with electronics nowadays processing power has become so cheap. All in the name of better efficiency and cleaner emissions, which is a good thing on the one hand, but man, even trying to get into the newer cars like the Gollof 7R's new Siemens ECUs is becoming a big hassle. Look, eventually a function description will leak out, just a matter of time, but nowadays you have to be more of a programmer than a tuner... The other thing is cost. If you can build an engine that you will keep between parameters X and Y, so closely, then you don't need to over engineer it, thereby keeping manufacturing costs to a minimum. Not like in the good old days where a stock 2JZ will stand up to 500+ hp. My feeling is with these new machines, if you go much over 10-15% of the rated power output you are in for a possible world of hurt with components failing etc. It doesn't make sense to put a crank that will laugh at 800hp in a 500hp motor, for them at least... And you don't need to either, because the electronic control is so good, you won't need the beefier parts cause the motor will never see those power levels. Sad really, hot-rodding is dying out at an alarming rate.
 

paulkane

Member
Seems odd to me that manual would go out completely. I always believed that they were the simplest and most robust. U guess we'll see?


flyitlikearental said:
Suppose they want to limit their liabilities when it comes to factory high hp high torque motors. Easier to control the whole lot with an autobox and some clever electronic tomfoolery. I believe where we are now is in a sort of "golden age" for factory performance vehicles. From now on ECU's will get harder to crack, the whole functioning of the ecu as we have come to understand it is changing. It really is phenomenal what they can do with electronics nowadays processing power has become so cheap. All in the name of better efficiency and cleaner emissions, which is a good thing on the one hand, but man, even trying to get into the newer cars like the Gollof 7R's new Siemens ECUs is becoming a big hassle. Look, eventually a function description will leak out, just a matter of time, but nowadays you have to be more of a programmer than a tuner... The other thing is cost. If you can build an engine that you will keep between parameters X and Y, so closely, then you don't need to over engineer it, thereby keeping manufacturing costs to a minimum. Not like in the good old days where a stock 2JZ will stand up to 500+ hp. My feeling is with these new machines, if you go much over 10-15% of the rated power output you are in for a possible world of hurt with components failing etc. It doesn't make sense to put a crank that will laugh at 800hp in a 500hp motor, for them at least... And you don't need to either, because the electronic control is so good, you won't need the beefier parts cause the motor will never see those power levels. Sad really, hot-rodding is dying out at an alarming rate.

Where's the fun in motoring gonna come from? People want to mod performance cars - period.
 
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